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Winter 2016
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 31, Number 4

A Dynamic AD-AS Analysis of the UK Economy, 2002-2010

Anthony J. Evans, ESCP Europe Business School
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/index.php?action=ajax&rs=GDMgetPage&rsargs[]=2016 Journal of Private Enterprise vol 31 no 4 Winter parte6.pdf&rsargs[]=0
TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise31(4),2016,97105ADynamicADASAnalysisoftheUKEconomy,20022010AnthonyJ.Evans*ESCPEuropeBusinessSchool__________________________________________________________AbstractThiseducationalnotehelpsinstructorstoutilizetheCowen/TabarrokdynamicADASmodel.IuseittointerpretsomemajorshocksandpolicyresponsesthathittheUKeconomyfrom2002through2010andIdescribehowtoincorporatethemodelintoaclassroomsetting.__________________________________________________________JELCodes:A22,B53,E52,E62,E32Keywords:ADASmodel,macroeconomics,monetarypolicy,undergraduateteachingIntroductionIntheirModernPrinciplesofMacroeconomicstextbook,TylerCowenandAlexTabarrokintroduceadynamicversionoftheaggregatedemandaggregatesupply(ADAS)model.1Itisasimpleframeworktomakesenseofeconomicshocksandpolicyresponses.ItsmaindifferencefromthetraditionalADASmodelisthatinsteadofshowingthepricelevelandrealGDPonthetwoaxes,thedynamicversionshowsinflation(ontheYaxis)andrealGDPgrowth(ontheXaxis),makingtheanalysismuchmoreaccessibletostudentsfortworeasons.First,inaworldofsustainedinflation,itcanbeconfusingtomodeldeclinesinaggregatedemandasleadingtoafallinthepricelevel.Second,inflationandgrowtharethemaineconomicindicatorsdiscussedinthenewsafterall,inflationtargetstendtobe2percent,andrecessionsaredefinedastwoquartersofnegativeGDPgrowth.Therefore,thedynamicmodelallowsstudentstoinstantlydrawupontheirexistingknowledgeofthemain*IappreciatehelpfulcommentsfromEliDouradoandananonymousrefereeonpreviousversionsofthispaper.Theusualdisclaimerapplies.1ReaderswhoareunfamiliarwiththedynamicADASmodelshouldstartwiththethoroughexpositionprovidedinCowenandTabarrok(2009).ThereisalsoanunaffiliatedvideointroductiononYouTubetitledAnIntroductiontotheDynamicADASModel.”
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