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Spring 2001
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 16, Number 2

Consolidation in Banking and Financial Services : The Demise of Glass-Steagall

John C. Soper, John Carroll University
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ConsolidationinBankingandFinancialServices:TheDemiseofGlass-SteagallJohnC.SoperJohnCarrollUniversityWhatisthelong-runequilibriumstructureofthebankingindustryaftertheterminationoftheGlass-SteagallAct?Obviouslywedonotknowtheanswertothisquestionnow,butsomeintelligentspeculationmayilluminateourthinkingaboutthisquestionandleadustosomeusefulpredictionsaboutthefutureshapeoftheU.S.bankingindustry.Inaddition,theremaybeimplicationsbothforthemorebroadlydefinedfinancialservicessectorandfortheregulatoryapparatusthatseekstocontrolbankingandfinancialservicesingeneral.ConsolidationintheU.S.bankingindustryhasresultedinadeclinebymorethanfortypercentinthenumberofbankssince1984(Gunther,1996).1Althoughthereappearstobeareductionintherateofconsolidationdatingfrommid-1998,therecentterminationofmostoftheregulatoryprovisionsoftheGlass-SteagallActof1933suggeststhatthebankingindustryislikelytoseesignificantadditionalconsolidationinthenearfuture,sayoverthenextdecade.TheUnitedStatesstillhasaverylargenumberofbanks(8,604asofSeptember30,1999).ThismakesitlikelythatmanyoftheseinstitutionswillfindmergerpartnersinthebankingsectororinthebroaderfinancialservicessectorCincludinginsurancefirms,brokerages,investmentbanks,etc.Mergersofbankswithotherbanksmeanconsolidation.Mergersofbankswithnon-bankfinancialserviceprovidersmeanconvergence.1In1984therewereapproximately14,500banksintheU.S.BySeptember30,1999thenumberhadfallento8,604,adeclineofmorethan40%.
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