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Spring 2018
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 33, Number 1

The Federal Reserve in the Shadow of the Bank of Japan

Thomas F. Cargill, University of Nevada, Reno
Gerald P. O’Driscoll Jr., Cato Institute
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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise33(1),2018,4762TheFederalReserveintheShadowoftheBankofJapanThomasF.CargillUniversityofNevada,RenoGeraldP.ODriscoll,Jr.CatoInstitute______________________________________________________AbstractSincethe2000s,theFederalReservehasbeenfollowingintheshadowoftheBankofJapanbymimickingitspolicies.ButtheFedhasbeennomoresuccessfulwiththosepolicies.WebrieflypresenttherecenthistoryofmonetarypolicyintheUnitedStatesandJapanandanalyzetheconsequences.Inbothcountries,itisimpossibletoconsidermonetarypolicyinisolation,soweexaminethefiscalandregulatorysituations.Wealsoaddresscentralbankindependenceinbothcountriesandexplainwhyitssignificanceisoverrated.______________________________________________________JELCodes:E52,E63,G18,N20Keywords:FederalReserve,BankofJapan,Abesthreearrows,centralbankindependenceI.IntroductionSincethe2000s,FederalReserveofficialshavebeenfollowingintheshadowoftheBankofJapan,mimickingitspoliciestonoavail.Forreasonsweexamineinthepaper,FederalReserveofficialshavelargelyignoredtheJapaneseexperience.YettheresultsofFederalReservepolicyhavebeendisappointing.Theburstingofthedot-combubblewasfollowedbyaperiodofthen-extraordinarilylowinterestrates.Thoseratesinflatedahousingbubble,whichalsoburst,resultingintheGreatRecession.TheFederalReservethenengagedThispaperwaspreparedfortheannualmeetingsoftheAssociationofPrivateEnterpriseEducationinMaui,Hawaii,April2017.TheauthorsappreciateTakeoHoshi,HughPatrick,andPaulSheardfortheircommentsonanearlierversionofthepaper.Theusualcaveatsapply.AnearlierversionappearedintheCenteronJapaneseEconomyandBusinessWorkingPapersSeries,PartNumber362,GraduateSchoolofBusiness,ColumbiaUniversity.
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