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Winter 2018
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 33, Number 4

Does “Excess Supply” Drive Excessive Health Spending? The Case of Certificate-of-Need Laws

James Bailey, Providence College
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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise33(4),2018,91109DoesExcessSupplyDriveExcessiveHealthSpending?TheCaseofCertificate-of-NeedLawsJamesBaileyProvidenceCollege______________________________________________________AbstractFordecades,USpolicymakersandeconomistshavesearchedforwaystoslowthegrowthofspendingonhealthcare.Oneapproachcurrentlytakenbythirty-fivestatesistorestrictthesupplyofhealthcarebyrequiringnewandgrowingproviderstoshowthattheyserveaneconomicneed.”Hospitalsandcertainotherhealthprovidersmustobtainacertificateofneed(CON)fromastateboardbeforeopeningorexpanding.IshowthatinasimplemodelwhereCONrestrictssupply,theeffectofCONonspendingdependsonthepriceelasticityofmarketdemandforhealthcare.CONwillworktorestrainspendingwhendemandiselastic;however,mostestimatesshowthedemandforhealthcaretobequiteinelastic.IthereforepredictthatCONwillincreasepricesforhealthcarewithoutmuchreducingitsuse,leadingtoanincreaseinspending.______________________________________________________JELCodes:I11,I18,H75Keywords:healthcarespending,certificateofneed,healthcaresupply,regulationI.IntroductionCertificate-of-need(CON)lawsrequirehealthcareproviderstoobtainthepermissionofastateboardbeforeopening,expandingintonewlinesofservice,ormakinglargecapitalexpenditures.Theselawswerepassedrapidlybetween1964and1980inthehopeofrestrainingthegrowthofhealthspending.By1980,everystatebutLouisianahadaCONprogram,andthefederalgovernmentwaspushingstatestoadoptCON.SincetheMedicarepaymentreformThankstoEleanorLewin,MichaelKotrous,AnnaChorniy,MohamadElbarasse,MattMitchell,TomHamami,participantsintheCreightonBusinessEconomicEnvironmentandPolicyseminar,theAssociationofPrivateEnterpriseEducationandtheAmericanSocietyofHealthEconomists2016meetings,andtheInternationalHealthEconomicsAssociation2017forhelpfulcomments.ThankstotheMercatusCenterforfinancialsupportandhelpfulcomments.
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