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Winter 2019

ISSN 0890-913X

Volume 34, Number 4

Categories: Winter 2019 | West Virginia political economy

Export Jobs, Special Interest Groups, and the US Presidential Election of 2016: The Case of West Virginia

Tomi Ovaska, Youngstown State University

Ryo Takashima, Sophia University

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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise34(4),2019,75–97ExportJobs,SpecialInterestGroups,andtheUSPresidentialElectionof2016:TheCaseofWestVirginiaTomiOvaskaYoungstownStateUniversityRyoTakashimaSophiaUniversity__________________________________________________________AbstractInthisWestVirginiacasestudy,wehighlightthesuccessoftraditional,smallspecialinterestgroupsinthe2016USpresidentialelectionanddemonstratethroughcounty-levelexport-dataregressionanalysishowthegripofsmallimport-competinggroupsinWestVirginiaislooseninginaglobalizingworld.Weshowhowthepreviouslysuccessfulanti-importgroupsnowfacenewsmallproducerandconsumergroupsthatarealsowellorganizedandwhoseincomedependsonopentrade.Usinggraphicalanalysis,wealsoshowthatwhentheanti-importgroupsloserelativestanding,society’sdeadweightlosscausedbytraderestraintsgetsincreasinglysmaller.__________________________________________________________JELCodes:D72,F10,F69,H25Keywords:Chinatariffs,export-supportedjobs,internationaltrade,MancurOlson,politicaleconomy,presidentialelection,rentseeking,specialinterestgroups,tariffs,thelogicofcollectiveaction,DonaldTrump,welfareanalysis,WestVirginiaI.IntroductionDuringthe2016presidentialelection,twocampsofsmallspecialinterestgroupsinWestVirginiahadopposingviewsonthebenefitsofinternationaltrade.FollowingthepreviousworksbyOlson(1965),Stigler(1971),Peltzman(1976),andBecker(1983),weestablishanempiricalconnectionbetweenthewinningcandidate’stradeorientationandhisvoteshare.Ourstudyalsoprovidesevidenceonhowanantitradestanceinelectionsiscomingunderincreasingpressurewithadvancingglobalizationandtheconsequentstrengtheningofnew,small,concentratedprotradespecialinterest

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Title	Export Jobs, Special Interest Groups, and the US Presidential Election of 2016: The Case of West Virginia
Authors/Creators:	Tomi Ovaska, Youngstown State University Ryo Takashima, Sophia University
Year:	2019
Volume:	34
Number:	4
Pages:	75 - 97
Publisher:	The Association of Private Enterprise Education
ISSN:	0890-913X
Document Type:	Articles
Keywords:	China tariffs, export-supported jobs, international trade, Mancur Olson, political economy, presidential election, rent seeking, special interest groups, tariffs, the logic of collective action, Donald Trump, welfare analysis, West Virginia

Citation:
Ovaska, Tomi; Takashima, Ryo / 2019. "Export Jobs, Special Interest Groups, and the US Presidential Election of 2016: The Case of West Virginia." The Journal of Private Enterprise, 34(4): 75-97.