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Fall 2022
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 37, Number 3

Mechanisms of Mass Migration: An Essay in Methodological Individualism

John Alcorn, Trinity College
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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise37(3),2022,61-79MechanismsofMassMigration:AnEssayinMethodologicalIndividualismJohnAlcorn*TrinityCollegeAbstractThispaperisatonceacomplementtoeconometricstudiesofcausesofmigrationandacontributiontomethodologicalindividualism.Itopensuptheblackboxandidentifiesconcatenationsoffine-grainedmechanismsofmassmigration.Keymechanismsaretriggers,chains,socialpsychology,coalitionformation,andabutterflyeffect.ThemassmigrationofItalianstotheUnitedStatesandthebacklashoftheGreatRestrictionillustratethesecausalprocessesandraisequestionsforfurtherresearch.JELCodes:J61,N31,N32,N33,N34,P10Keywords:GreatEmigration,freemovementoflabor,immigrationrestrictionsI.ChainMigrationA.AFrameworkofMechanismsinChainMigrationChainmigrationisacausalprocessinwhichmigrationhasaspillovereffectondecisionsbyothersaboutwhethertomigrate.Figure1representssomeofthemechanismsinvolvedinchainmigration(cf.Gambetta1998).Behaviorisexplainedbydesiresandby(beliefsabout)opportunities.Somemechanismsthatshapedesiresand(beliefsabout)opportunitiesareidentified.Arrowsindicaterelationsofcauseandeffect.Aplussignindicatesthatacauseincreasesthevariablethatitshapes,whereasaminussignindicatesthatacausedecreasesthevariablethatitshapes.*IthankJonElster,DiegoGambetta,andTimothyHattonforhelpfulcomments.
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