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Summer 2021

ISSN 0890-913X

Volume 36, Number 2

Jordan’s Mariel Boatlift: An Examination of Effects of an Exogenous Labor Market Shock

Abir Mandal, University of Mount Olive

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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise36(2),2021,19–35Jordan’sMarielBoatlift:AnExaminationofEffectsofanExogenousLaborMarketShockAbirMandal*UniversityofMountOlive__________________________________________________________AbstractThisworkcontributestotheextantresearchonhowtheSyrianrefugeecrisisimpactedtheJordanianlabormarket.Priorworkexaminesthelabormarketimpactbyfocusingonlower-skilledlaborandwages,isolatedfromJordan’soveralleconomicconditions.Idrawonapreviouslyunuseddatasourcetoextendthecurrentliteraturebyconsideringthedifferentialeffectsofthecrisisonbothhigh-andlow-skilledworkers.IfindthatwhileallcategoriesofworkersinJordansawlowerwagesfollowingtherefugeeinfluxconsequenttotheSyriancivilwar,theeffectwassmallerforlowskilledlaborers.ThisfindingsuggeststhatwhiletheprevailingconditionsofJordan’seconomymayhaveresultedinlowerwages,theSyrianrefugeesmayhavecreatedanetpositivelabordemandshockforexistinglow-skilledworkers.__________________________________________________________JELCodes:O20,J15,J01Keywords:immigration,labor,development,unemployment,lowskilledlabor,Jordan,SyrianrefugeecrisisI.IntroductionAleadingconcernofmanygovernmentsaroundtheworldisthataninfluxofforeignlaborerswilldepressnativewagesandcompetewithnativeworkersforwell-payingjobs.IntheUnitedStates,suchworrieshadcompelledtheUSCitizenshipandImmigrationServicesunderPresidentDonaldTrumptoconsiderstepsthatwoulddrasticallycutbackonimmigration,especiallyofpotentiallylow-wageworkers,topreventanegativewelfareeffectonthelowestpercentilesofUSincomeearners(CFR2015).Evidencesupportingthisconcernisslim,however—atleastwithintheUnitedStates.Thispaperexaminestheimpactsofanexogenouspositivelabormarketshock,theinfluxofSyrianrefugees,onJordan’slabormarket.IusedatafromtheStatisticalYearbookseriesproducedbythe*Thispaperwaswrittenin2018.Minorupdatesweremadepriortopublication.

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Title	Jordan’s Mariel Boatlift: An Examination of Effects of an Exogenous Labor Market Shock
Authors/Creators:	Abir Mandal, University of Mount Olive
Year:	2021
Volume:	36
Number:	2
Pages:	19 - 35
Publisher:	The Association of Private Enterprise Education
ISSN:	0890-913X
Document Type:	Articles
Keywords:	immigration, labor, development, unemployment, lowskilled labor, Jordan, Syrian refugee crisis

Citation:
Mandal, Abir / 2021. "Jordan’s Mariel Boatlift: An Examination of Effects of an Exogenous Labor Market Shock." The Journal of Private Enterprise, 36(2): 19-35.