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Spring 2013
ISSN 0890-913X
Volume 28, Number 2

What Is the Likely Impact of the Volcker Rule on Markets, Businesses, Investors, and Job Creation?

James R. Barth, Auburn University
Donald McCarthy, Econ One
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TheJournalofPrivateEnterprise28(2),2013,6374WhatIstheLikelyImpactoftheVolckerRuleonMarkets,Businesses,Investors,andJobCreation?JamesR.Barth*AuburnUniversityMilkenInstituteDonaldMcCarthyEconOneAbstractTheVolckerRuleprohibitsbankingentitiesfromengaginginproprietarytradingactivitieswiththeintentiontocurtailexcessiverisksforbankingentitiesandtolimitconflictsofinterest.However,thissectionoftheDodd-FrankActisbasedonafalsepremisebecauseahighproportionoflargeindividualtradinglosseshavehistoricallyoccurredatnon-banks.Thesenon-banklossestendtobethosemostthreateningtofinancialstability.TheVolckerRulemayhavetheunintendedconsequenceofshiftingrisk-takingtoless-regulatedpartsofthefinancialsystemthatarelessresilientshouldlossesarise.JELCodes:G1,G18,G2,G21,G28,G24Keywords:Volckerrule;Proprietarytrading;Tradinglosses;Banking;Dodd-FrankActI.IntroductionInJuly2010,theDoddFrankWallStreetReformandConsumerProtectionActbecamelaw.Itsstatedpurposeistopromoteawellfunctioningfinancialsystem.Inthisregard,animportantsection,referredtoastheVolckerRule,prohibitsbankingentitiesfromengaginginproprietarytradingactivitiesandlimitstheirabilitytoinvestin,orhavecertainrelationships,withhedgefundsandprivateequityfunds.Certainactivitiesareexemptedfromtheseprohibitionssubjecttoprudentialbackstopprovisions.Therulespurposeistoprohibitactivitiesthatcouldcreateexcessiverisksforbankingentitiesandconflictsofinterest.*ThispaperisbasedonJ.BarthstestimonybeforetheUnitedStateHouseofRepresentativesCommitteeonFinancialServicesonDecember13,2012.63
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